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  1. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    The data source for graph he posted: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/data/NCHSData12.csv The explanation I posted is pretty straightforward. There aren't any inconsistencies. Check the CDC explanation for % of deaths. Just download, add a column for season, pivot, graph
  2. MosesTheTank

    Looking for a good first aid/trauma bag

    That Flatpack looks pretty nice and I'm going to get one to try it out. Too often I have TQs rolling around when they could/should be secured.
  3. MosesTheTank

    Which bag / rest to start with?

    Armageddon Gear Game Changer. I use the Git Lite model for longer hike-and-shoots but I don't think it's quite as stable. https://www.armageddongear.com/Game-Changer_p_111.html
  4. MosesTheTank

    Looking for a good first aid/trauma bag

    I have a few ITS kits and they are great. See Skinny Medic for larger kits. My advice for your truck is to have a seatbelt cutter handy and to keep a few tourniquets tucked here and there... glove box, center console... Then keep a blow-out kit separate from everything else. If you have an...
  5. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Every week of every year goes like this during flu season. CDC tabulates the numbers as they roll in and revises as necessary. As weeks roll out the adjustments get small. This is no different than DOL or BLS updating employment figures. First graph is data reported during calendar week 13...
  6. MosesTheTank

    Over/Under timeline before looting/breakins start?

    The wife was commenting last evening on how very little has changed for us. I have noticed the stress pulled tightly across faces on the rare occasion when I venture out. I kinda miss the CF routine since the gym closed, but I have just become better acquainted with my sandbags. Neither of us...
  7. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    I think you have made many good points in this thread but I have to strongly disagree with this one and the underlying thinking. That we have any measurable portion of our population that looks to a press briefing of any administration as source of credible scientific information without...
  8. MosesTheTank

    Why are they helping New Yorkers?

    @308pirate , perhaps Herr Corpin is indulging in a bit of dirty political sarcasm. Of course The Mayor is not really asking any questions at all. He is virtue signalling to the worst of NYC's crusty underbelly whose faculties are rendered numb from having to suck air through shit-flavored straws...
  9. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    I believe there are some immunoassays developed years ago that would have this covered, or at least offer the basic design for this specific coronavirus. Edit: found this Development of a Nucleocapsid-Based Human Coronavirus Immunoassay
  10. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Dayum 44 Texas Students Have Coronavirus After Spring Break Trip AUSTIN, Texas — Two weeks ago, amid the coronavirus pandemic, about 70 students from the University of Texas at Austin partied in Mexico on spring break. The students, all in their 20s, flew on a chartered plane to Cabo San...
  11. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Yes. No matter the question there is a procedure, and a better procedure, and a crap procedure. A stored procedure if you a data person. We even have resident grammarians to point out the couple of offenses in your post.
  12. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Dude, training does not mean a PhD. I trust you are not shitting on 2-year colleges. How about starting with an ounce of curiosity..? Amongst my many qualifications is having been raised in a New Orleans gambling den. Sorry, I don't have a PhD. Having said that, here is one way of going about...
  13. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    How? And by "how", I mean very specifically. Do you have any idea at all how they do what they do? People here and everywhere keep dismissing, or even bashing, a community of geeks that have dedicated their every waking moment to getting a handle on this. Most of them did not just happen willy...
  14. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Not seeing any logic, definitely no math, and most obviously no data. Where do you get your data from? How do you pull it all together (there so much out there)?
  15. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Got it. Thanks for the reply, and I think that is a fair statement. I trust that the vast majority of researchers, geneticists, epidemiologists, data scientists, etc. that are pouring over this will have considered that. Certainly some are looking for it. It is only fair to acknowledge fallibility.
  16. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    So you have some knowledge of math? I assume so otherwise you couldn't critique an answer given. I ask the same question of you, what are your calcs, methods, tools, or whatever you use?
  17. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    So the analogy is that coronavirus has covered its tracks by masking or scrambling or spoofing its genetic data?
  18. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Dude, seriously? What is a data scientist or practitioner of the black art of econometrics to do if it's all just a guess? Really?
  19. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    More metaphysically insightful words have never been spoken. Most certainly not here in the Bear Pit where calls to civility and decorum always yield substantial results. Upon reflection I realize that my supposed metropolitan sophistication is nothing more than a thin veneer overlaying a...
  20. MosesTheTank

    Turns out Corona Virus threat is all horsecrap.

    Right on. Genomic epidemiology of novel coronavirus. To beat this to death because I am weary of the over-reactors (from every direction), and like any of this really needs to be said..? DO NOT listen to Presidents, Governors, or MSM for advice/knowledge/whatever on science. If you are not able...